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Essays on infrastructure, energy, and the systems underneath them.

Essay — Part 1

"Is AI a Bubble?" Is the Wrong Question

The bubble question bundles three separate risks that share a headline and almost nothing else: multiple compression, capex digestion, and a capability plateau. Telling them apart, and training capex from inference, is where the next several years of infrastructure capital will be made and lost.

20 July 2026·12 min read

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Writing on infrastructure, energy and the systems underneath them, by Jason Grissino.

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